Prices resolution risk, market by market: the chance an event contract's outcome is disputed, reversed or paid late, for the lenders that hold positions to settlement.
10bips.com ↗
Work
Now I run 10bips, which prices resolution risk to make event contracts bankable. Below, the work that led to it, the open problems around it, and the projects that came before.
Head of engineering. One-touch options: the equivalent of price prediction markets, priced per quote.
touch.market ↗
Open Problems
Ten open problems in prediction markets, each explained three ways, with a concrete place to start. None of them are solved. Most can be started on a laptop this week with public data.
Read the index →
Founder. A collectible card marketplace I built alone at 17. $4M+ in volume.
github.com/AdamShymanski/TCM ↗
Footage on the home page: Stream into Lower Dolgoch Falls by Pierre Marshall and Time-lapse recording of a lenticular cloud by Paethon, both CC BY 4.0, cropped and looped, the first also desaturated. The rest is NASA footage in the public domain.